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Not A Poll Of Likely Voters (none / 0)

I've had this same criticism of some other polls, this is a random sample of adults including some who are not even registered voters! USA Today didn't bother to use any kind of likely voter model, so this is a very very very very poor indicator of how a national primary election would play out. And we don't even have a national primary election. Still, notice that Giuliani leads all candidates at 59% in terms of the portion of the population that would consider voting for him in the General Election. Obama is in second place at 58% and Clinton and Edwards both trail at 55%.


by HatchInBrooklyn on Wed Nov 07, 2007 at 10:18:42 AM EST

Re: Not A Poll Of Likely Voters (none / 0)

Yeah but the campaign against Guiliani hasn't really started , so if it starts that will probably drop.

But whoever our nominee is against Guiliani will have his/her work cut out for him because I think the msm will be pushing for Guiliani especially if it is Hillary Clinton.


Educated in a small town Taught to fear Jesus in a small town Used to daydream in that small town Another born romantic that's me.
by lori on Wed Nov 07, 2007 at 10:22:27 AM EST
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I'm Not Saying It Won't Be Tough (none / 0)

If Giuliani is the Republican nominee, it will be a tough campaign for whoever wins our party's nomination.

On a side note, last night I saw an incredible documentary about the 2004 election--(Election Day)--and it brought me back down to reality as far as November '08 goes. I'm still not going to be the happiest camper if Clinton gets the nomination, but we're all going to have to work together to win the White House no matter what happens. In spite of a couple of suspicious Clinton supporters on MyDD, I'm looking forward to playing on the same team as lori and georgep and most others once this primary fight is over. And I'm sure we'll all be on the same team whether we're behind Obama or Clinton or Edwards or someone else.

Respect!

by HatchInBrooklyn on Wed Nov 07, 2007 at 10:32:36 AM EST
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Re: I'm Not Saying It Won't Be Tough (none / 0)

Sure I really have no problem with Obama winning the nomination ( although I am keeping my fingers crossed and praying fervently that she weathers the barrage for the next 2 months coming from all sides and wins ) , he is my second choice , but Edwards is one I would feel depressed about if he somehow goes through and wins the nomination because I don't like his attacks on her character , Obama is still attacking Hillary Clinton and I don't have a problem with the way he is doing it because it is largely issue oriented .

However if Edwards wins , I'll probably be pissed for like a month and then get back to being a happy camper , ask my brothers , my grudges usually last a month and then I am right back in the middle of playing basketball with them.

giggle.

So yeah looking forward to working together whomever the nominee is.

I just pray the republicans don't snap out of their foolishness and nominate John Mccain. How do you go after the guy. Guiliani we still can find away to go after on issues and several fronts.  


Educated in a small town Taught to fear Jesus in a small town Used to daydream in that small town Another born romantic that's me.
by lori on Wed Nov 07, 2007 at 10:43:20 AM EST
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Re: I'm Not Saying It Won't Be Tough (none / 0)

You'd have to go after McCain on the war, the fact that he wants more wars just like this one, and so on.  Democrats aren't used to campaigning like this and I agree he would be a tough opponent.


"Another problem we have...is that in election years we behave somewhat as primitive peoples do at the time of the full moon." --Harry Truman
by Steve M on Wed Nov 07, 2007 at 01:35:30 PM EST
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Re: Not A Poll Of Likely Voters (none / 0)

Every single poll we have seen that has shown both the "all adults" and "likely voters" screen has stressed that there is no difference between the results.  The last 3 or 4 we have seen to show us both screens showed a variance of at most 1%, so it is a safe assumption to make that at this point the "all adults" screen matches the "likely voters" screen closely.  


by georgep on Wed Nov 07, 2007 at 10:38:54 AM EST
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this year (none / 0)

we do have a natl primary...haavent yaa noticed?

this puppy will be done by february 1 at the latest...


"I never give them hell. I just tell the truth and they think it's hell." Democrat Party "Hack" and President Harry S Truman
by holden caulfield on Wed Nov 07, 2007 at 12:40:00 PM EST
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